Thursday, October 11, 2012

ETHIOPIA:Muger Cement mulls Chinese supplier for US$33.2m power upgrade

Muger Cement Enterprise is considering proposals from two Chinese suppliers for a turnkey project to convert its current heavy furnace oil (HFO) clinker burning system to a coal-fired system. Mekonnen Zergaw, CEO of the state-owned Muger, declining to disclose the names of the companies. He said that five companies had participated in the bid, of which one has been disqualified at the beginning while two companies did not pass the technical evaluation.

This is the second time Muger has accepted tenders for the upgrade. Originally Muger awarded a US$28m contract to Chinese firm Hefei Cement Research Design Institute (HCRDI) that built the same project for the EFFORT Messobo plant. "The company increased the bid by around US$11m after we had already awarded it," said Zergaw.

Muger plans to complete the coal-fired furnace by the 2013-2014 fiscal year and its demand for coal is estimated to be 693Mt/yr. However, Muger is still waiting for the approval of a US$33.2m loan request from the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia. The Ethiopian government instructed cement factories in 2010 to shift from HFO to other alternative sources of energy in order to reduce foreign currency spending.

ESPAÑA: El Superior declara legal la licencia de la cementera de Coirós


El Concello celebra un fallo que pone fin a años de recursos administrativos y judiciales


El Tribunal Superior de Xustiza de Galicia ha rechazado el recurso contra la resolución del 6 de julio de 2007 del Concello de Coirós por la que se le concedió a Gallega de Molienda de Clinker licencia de actividad para la cementera de Coirós, que ya ha cerrado sus puertas. El fallo es firme.

El Alto Tribunal ha desestimado el alegato del denunciante, que sostenía, entre otras cosas, que era necesaria la aprobación de un estudio de detalle para proceder a la segregación de las parcelas.

El Gobierno local de Coirós emitió ayer un comunicado a los medios en el que se congratula de un fallo que, dice, pone término a años de recursos administrativos y judiciales. En la nota de prensa, la más extensa de las enviadas por el Concello este mandato, el Gobierno local carga contra el abogado que llevó el caso y al que acusa de "perseguir fines políticos y de competitividad económica".

Futuro incierto

La resolución judicial que pone fin a un conflicto que arrancó hace casi una década ve la luz con la cementera cerrada y su futuro en el aire. La empresa solicitó el pasado mes de mayo a la Consellería de Medio Ambiente que renueve la autorización ambiental integrada que le fue concedida el 28 de junio de 2007.

El Concello desconoce si Gallega de Molienda de Clinker tiene previsto reanudar la actividad o ceder las instalaciones a otra compañía.

CARIBBEAN: Caribbean Cement Crude-For-Commodities Deal Appears Uncertain



Caribbean Cement Company Limited is banking on a new cement supply agreement with Venezuelan to reboot sales and reinvigorate its cash flows, but intervening elections could crush its plans.

The cement supply deal is being negotiated under the crude for commodities component of the PetroCaribe agreement between Jamaicaand Venezuela, which allows for part-payment of oil with goods.

In June, Caribbean Cement's chairman Brian Young disclosed to shareholders that the Kingston plant hoped to begin supplying cement to Venezuela in early 2013.

However, finalising the contract was first delayed by Hugo Chávez's illness - the Venezuelan president was widely reported to have cancer and was treated several times in Cuba - and now it faces the uncertainty of elections and a potential change of government when residents of the South American country vote in national elections on Sunday, October 7.

Chávez is considered to be leading narrowly in opinion polls with his challenger, Henrique Capriles, nipping at his heels. It is widely expected that a new Venezuelan administration would, at the very least, seek to reshape the PetroCaribe agreement struck with individual oil-import dependent Caricom nations, which, in turn, would delay or jeopardise its side deals.

A portion of Jamaica's oil bill owed to Venezuela is converted to long-term loans under the seven-year-old PetroCaribe accord to be used for development projects.

The loan proceeds are administered by the PetroCaribe Development Fund, which was established to manage and invest the portion of the oil payments that are treated as long-term loans.

Repayment is priced at one per cent but the agreement also allows for the trading of commodities to offset the oil debt.

Trade compensation

The cement deal aims to leverage that area of the agreement, known as the Trade Compensation Mechanism.

The cement producer disclosed the arrangement in its 2011 annual report. General Manager Anthony Haynes has not responded to requests for comment on the structure of the arrangement and how big a contract Rockfort is negotiating.

However, the company's second-quarter financials released in August vaguely refers to continuing negotiations for a three-year supply contract with an unnamed party - as have previous quarterly reports - which, it said, is expected to "make a significant contribution to the group's forecasted turnover and net cash flow over the contract period."

If agreed, it will be the first such crude-for-commodities arrange-ment for Jamaica, but Guyana has supplied rice to Venezuela under the pact.

Caribbean Cement is struggling with accumulated losses of more than J$5 billion and is reliant on parent company Trinidad Cement Limited for its continuing operations.

The Jamaican operation has been expanding aggressively into export markets - including Haiti, Eastern Caribbean and Dominican Republic - to offset shrinking domestic cement sales.

MEXICO: Mexico's $10bn cement giant lightens its load



Mexico's $10 billion cement giant is lightening its load. Though expansion weighed Cemex down with debt and losses, the US housing recovery, eager bond buyers and a planned initial public offering in Colombia are now paving the road to recovery. The investment thesis, however, is less than concrete.



Cemex is building on advantageous conditions. Creditors agreed to refinance about a third of its $18 billion debt load in August, giving the company more wiggle room. And yield-hungry investors last week bought another $1.5 billion of newly issued Cemex bonds. Demand was so high, in fact, that the company sold 50 percent more than planned.



A construction rebound also is working in the company's favor. Sales from Cemex's US unit, which accounts for about a fifth of revenue, were up 23 percent in the first half from a year ago. Business in Mexico and South America also increased 14 percent. All the positive momentum has helped lift the company's US listed shares by over 70 percent in 2012 to their highest level in two years.



That healthy appetite for Latin stocks also should help Cemex elsewhere later this month. To satisfy creditors, the company agreed to sell parts of its business. An IPO of its South American and Caribbean operations in Bogota is coming fresh on the heels of a successful listing in the region by Santander's Mexican arm. According to Banco Ita?, the Cemex unit being floated could be worth nearly $8 billion.



Nevertheless, the path remains more gravelly than the market seems to think. The company hasn't paid dividends in four years - and restoring them looks distant. Debt covenants still need to be met and creditors would need to approve any payouts. Even assuming roughly 6 percent sales growth a year, Credit Suisse estimates it'll take until 2014 before Cemex returns to profitability.



And yet the company trades at 10.4 times its last 12 months of EBITDA through June 30. That's a multiple about 25 percent richer than for global peers Holcim and Lafarge . While Cemex has come a long way, investors should remember it also hasn't completely shed its cement shoes.



CONTEXT NEWS

- Mexican cement maker Cemex on Oct. 4 sold $1.5 billion in 10-year notes paying an interest rate of 9.375 percent. Demand for the notes approached $7 billion before the books closed, according to IFR. Fitch rated the notes B-plus with a stable outlook.



- Cemex shares rose to a 20-month high following the bond sale and the company also providing on Oct. 4 its first financial forecast since February 2009. Cemex plans to list shares of its South American and Caribbean operations in Colombia in October.

PAKISTAN: Bestway Cement

Bestway Cement Limited is the subsidiary company of Bestway group based in United Kingdom. Bestway is the perfect example of a group having a diversified operations and revenue base. The group has cement manufacturing, global banking, wholesale cash & carry business, a string of retail outlets, real estate investment, ethnic food and beverage import and distribution and rice milling businesses within its folds. 

In Pakistan, the group is the joint owner of the third largest Pakistani bank, United Bank Limited. The group has also recently launched its power generation project in Pakistan, thus further enhancing its dynamism. Bestway Cement initiated its operations in Pakistan in late 1992 in Hattar, Haripur in the KPK province with the initial capacity of one million tons per annum. In 2004, the company took a strategic decision of growing its operations through the setting up of another 1.8 million tons per annum plant near Village Tatral of District Chakwal, Punjab. In 2005, company's bid for Mustehkam Cement Limited was accepted which further enhanced its presence in the Pakistani cement sector. Over the years, the company has more than quadrupled its annual production capacity which now clocks at around six million tons. 

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE FY12 During FY12 under review, the company was able to operate at more than 66 percent of its capacity and its sales grew up by 33.4 percent, standing at Rs 17.78 billion. Despite a vivid sales growth of 33.4 percent, the company was able to maintain its COGS, giving a 95 percent boom to its GP. Thanks to the equity injection at the end of FY11 and lower cost of financing which enabled the company to reduce its financial charges by 23 percent resulting in a PBT of Rs 3.93 billion as opposed to a Rs 424.14 million in the previous year. 

In FY12, the company was able to attain the highest EPS since 2008, standing at Rs 5.29. Despite fierce competition in the industry, Bestway managed to retain its market share in the northern zone and its position as one of the foremost exporters of the country. 

A GLIMPSE OF PERFORMANCE OVER THE YEARS By and large, company shows an escalating sales pattern since FY03 except that it dwindled in FY10 and remained almost constant in FY11. In FY10, although sales volume grew significantly, the plunge in sales was merely caused by extensively low prices due to fierce competition prevailing in the industry. 

In FY11, overall dispatches of the industry shrunk by 8.19 percent owing to severe flooding. Thus, corresponding with the industry trend, Bestway's sales' volumes also plummeted by more than 24 percent. Nevertheless, company was able to record a net turnover of Rs 13,332 million compared to Rs 13,333 million for the preceding year primarily due to increase in selling prices during the last quarter of the year. 

GP shows the lowest number in FY08 although sales surged by 32.5 percent, mainly due to low retentions and high energy cost. Operating profit also shows the worst depiction in FY10 with OP margin standing at just 2.48 percent. However, it recovered in FY11 owing to a dip in distribution cost by almost 67 percent on the back of industry exports contraction by 11.68 percent and local market shrink by 6.61 percent. Operating income over the years is also greatly propped up by the dividend income from the associated company, UBL. 

Financial cost has been a stumbling block in company's performance over the years and resulted in negative bottom line in FY10. Financial cost climbed the highest of Rs 2.489 billion in FY11 primarily due to rising mark-up rates. During the year, the company issued right shares of Rs 3.79 billion which boosted its capital and reserves by 56.5 percent and the company was able to discharge its obligations on all types of loans in time. 

LIQUIDITY Bestway has been showing up a negative working capital and a current ratio of less than one, which reveals the cash strapped position of the company. This dull liquidity position is due to the debt oriented capital structure of the company where debt accounts for more than 100 percent of equity in all the years. However, it has been observed that in FY11, Bestway has been able to significantly improve its capital structure by the issuance of right shares as a result D/E ratio dipped by 44 percent to 1.68. Notwithstanding considerable improvement, a D/E ratio of 1.68 still portrays an alarming situation. 

Despite having scanty liquidity position, the company claims to be able to meet its obligations in a timely manner might be due to having favourable terms with the creditors or by issuing shares, as it did in FY11. Further, with decline in 350bps in interest rate in last one year and further easing in discount rate in upcoming monetary policy will reduce annual financial expenses. 

OUTLOOK Given remarkable improvement in PSDP expenditures and upcoming elections which is likely to give a boost to infrastructure development and house construction activities, the local dispatches of the cement industry is sure to perk up. Moreover, cement prices are expected to uphold at current levels amid low coal costs. On the export frontage, Bestway has acquired certification from South African Bureau of Standardisation enabling it to seek export opportunities to South Africa. 

Recent developments in Saudi Arabia and Qatar also open a window of opportunity for Pakistani cement companies. Bestway is already a leading brand in India and Afghanistan and anticipates growing its market share in those markets. Other markets like Iraq and Sri Lanka and Central Asia are also expected to create significant demand for Pakistan cement sector.